Biden’s Durable Edge

   Our final forecast from the OZY predictive election model, in conjunction with the data firm 0ptimus, gives Biden an 88 percent chance of victory. He hasn’t dipped below 80 percent since the end of September — that’s just how remarkably steady this race has been. Taking polls, historical trends, economic data and more, our predictions find Trump trailing in a slew of must-win states — and the fact that states like Texas and Georgia are even in play is a sign of the president’s struggles. Still, as some polls show tightening, Trump does still have a narrow path to pull off another shocker.